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Old 04-02-2020, 03:45 PM   #75
JRTJH
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Join Date: Mar 2011
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In addition to the "purely scientific aspects" of this pandemic, the "officials that can't give us an exact answer" are being "perplexed by non-compliance"...

How can anyone build exact data knowing that some people are going to cheat, ignore hand washing, ignore social distancing, ignore staying in one location. How that will affect other areas and other people, and the "exact date it will end" really boils down to "who is ignoring the rules, where they are and how much impact they have based on where the go and what they do"....

In other words, in a society as mobile and independent as our American society, we can be (and are) in New York on Monday, in Miami on Tuesday, in New Orleans on Wednesday, in Dallas on Thursday and who knows where on Friday... Now, change up that schedule and go to any city with a high infection rate before going to a city with a low infection rate will change how that one person impacts the overall "final date"....

I think that as we "learn more about this virus" we have to also consider all the "unpredictable people who ignore anyone's advice" and the reality comes out the other end as "nobody can give us any valid expectations because there are too many variables to consider".....

Sometimes, we're our own worst enemy. People who went to spring break in Florida, people who went to church in Dallas on Sunday, people who played basketball in Central Park on Saturday are all making it impossible to predict what "data driven expectations" might happen.....
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